Vis Pesaro vs Forli: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tonino Benelli, Pesaro
The Footlab model makes Vis Pesaro the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Forli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Forli?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Vis Pesaro (1,782) and Forli (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vis Pesaro have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Forli have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Modena(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vis Pesaro win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Forli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Vis Pesaro 1-1 Forli | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Forli 3-1 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Vis Pesaro score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Forli score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vis Pesaro | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Forli | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vis Pesaro sit 17th in Serie C - Girone B (0 points from 1 matches) and Forli sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Forli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Vis Pesaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vis Pesaro vs Forli?
- The Footlab model makes Vis Pesaro the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Forli.
- Where and when is Vis Pesaro vs Forli played?
- Vis Pesaro vs Forli is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tonino Benelli, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.