Šampion Celje vs Čarda Martjanci: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Igrišče Olimp, Celje
The Footlab model makes Šampion Celje the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Čarda Martjanci. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šampion Celje vs Čarda Martjanci?
Čarda Martjanci starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,520 vs 1,417).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šampion Celje have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Čarda Martjanci have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podvinci(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Čarda Martjanci(away) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Žalec(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Krško(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Mozirje(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hajdina(away) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Šampion Celje(home) | 3-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Rogaška(home) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Zavrč(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 3, 2026 | Rače(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Šampion Celje win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Čarda Martjanci win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Čarda Martjanci 3-2 Šampion Celje | 3. SNL - East |
Last archived meeting: Čarda Martjanci vs Šampion Celje on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Šampion Celje score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Čarda Martjanci score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šampion Celje | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Čarda Martjanci | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šampion Celje sit 10th in 3. SNL - East (1 points from 2 matches) and Čarda Martjanci sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Čarda Martjanci | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Šampion Celje | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šampion Celje vs Čarda Martjanci?
- The Footlab model makes Šampion Celje the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Čarda Martjanci.
- Where and when is Šampion Celje vs Čarda Martjanci played?
- Šampion Celje vs Čarda Martjanci is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Igrišče Olimp, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.