Dobrovce vs Ljutomer: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Športni park, Dobrovce
The Footlab model makes Ljutomer the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Dobrovce. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dobrovce vs Ljutomer?
Ljutomer starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,419 vs 1,299).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dobrovce have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Ljutomer have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Limbuš Pekre(away) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ljutomer(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Ljutomer(home) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 9, 2026 | Hajdina(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 5, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(home) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odranci(away) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dobrovce(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Videm(home) | 6-4 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Dobrovce(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 10, 2026 | Rogaška(home) | 6-2 | 3. SNL - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Dobrovce win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ljutomer win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ljutomer 3-0 Dobrovce | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Dobrovce 3-3 Ljutomer | 3. SNL - East |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Ljutomer 1-1 Dobrovce | 3. SNL - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Dobrovce score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ljutomer score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dobrovce | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Ljutomer | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dobrovce sit 14th in 3. SNL - East (0 points from 2 matches) and Ljutomer sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ljutomer | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Dobrovce | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dobrovce vs Ljutomer?
- The Footlab model makes Ljutomer the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Dobrovce.
- Where and when is Dobrovce vs Ljutomer played?
- Dobrovce vs Ljutomer is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.