NK Ormoz vs Šmartno: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes NK Ormoz the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Šmartno. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Ormoz vs Šmartno?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate NK Ormoz (1,478) and Šmartno (1,399).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, NK Ormoz have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Šmartno have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rače(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Šmartno(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Ormoz(home) | 2-4 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Rače(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Podvinci(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 10, 2026 | Fužinar(home) | 5-0 | 3. SNL - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 NK Ormoz win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Šmartno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Šmartno 2-4 NK Ormoz | 3. SNL - East |
How many goals should we expect?
NK Ormoz score 3.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 2; Šmartno score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Ormoz | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Šmartno | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Ormoz sit 2nd in 3. SNL - East (6 points from 2 matches) and Šmartno sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NK Ormoz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Šmartno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Ormoz vs Šmartno?
- The Footlab model makes NK Ormoz the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Šmartno.
- Where and when is NK Ormoz vs Šmartno played?
- NK Ormoz vs Šmartno is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.