Samsunspor vs Başakşehir: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun
The Footlab AI model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Samsunspor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Başakşehir wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,547 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Başakşehir?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Samsunspor (1,955) and Başakşehir (2,053).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Samsunspor vs Başakşehir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Samsunspor
3-5-2- 18M. Bayo
- 10T. Coulibaly
- 17L. Tómasson
- 2J. Mendes
- 4E. Watt
- 42Y. Sekongo
- 5C. Yüksel
- 34G. Guarino
- 16S. Eraković
- 3I. Drapiński
- 25B. Bayazıt
Başakşehir
4-2-3-1- 9D. Selke
- 70A. Skov Olsen
- 14E. Shomurodov
- 8O. Kemen
- 77I. Brnić
- 18J. Kałuziński
- 23E. Bayram
- 27O. Ba
- 33M. Karbownik
- 38S. Kharebashvili
- 16M. Şengezer
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 02:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samsunspor have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Başakşehir have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 2-5 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Amed(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-4 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 0-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 5-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Samsunspor win, 0 draws, 5 Başakşehir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Başakşehir 5-2 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Başakşehir 3-0 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Samsunspor 0-2 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Başakşehir 4-0 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Samsunspor 2-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Başakşehir 1-0 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Başakşehir vs Samsunspor on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Samsunspor score 1.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Başakşehir score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Başakşehir | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samsunspor sit 17th in Süper Lig (4 points from 10 matches) and Başakşehir sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Başakşehir | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 14 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 4 |
A question about Samsunspor vs Başakşehir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samsunspor vs Başakşehir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Samsunspor.
- Where and when is Samsunspor vs Başakşehir played?
- Samsunspor vs Başakşehir is played on April 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.