Başakşehir vs Göztepe: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Göztepe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Başakşehir vs Göztepe?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Başakşehir (2,038) and Göztepe (2,003).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Başakşehir have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Göztepe have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Samsunspor(away) | 3-3 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Başakşehir win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Göztepe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Başakşehir 2-1 Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Göztepe 1-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Göztepe 4-1 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Başakşehir 4-1 Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Göztepe 0-0 Başakşehir | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Başakşehir 3-1 Göztepe | Türkiye Kupası |
How many goals should we expect?
Başakşehir score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Göztepe score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Göztepe | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Başakşehir sit 10th in Süper Lig (3 points from 2 matches) and Göztepe sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Başakşehir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Göztepe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Başakşehir vs Göztepe?
- The Footlab model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Göztepe.
- Where and when is Başakşehir vs Göztepe played?
- Başakşehir vs Göztepe is played on April 11, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.