Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Kasımpaşa. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa?
Beşiktaş starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (2,113 vs 1,896).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1- 28D. Vlahović
- 10O. Kökçü
- 6S. Özcan
- 19L. Trossard
- 15J. Olaitan
- 18V. Černý
- 62A. Murillo
- 53E. Topçu
- 33R. Yılmaz
- 12E. Agbadou
- 1A. Nübel
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1- 9A. Benedyczak
- 26K. Demirbay
- 7A. Kol
- 51Elson Mendes
- 50G. Yalçın
- 16A. Baldursson
- 2Cláudio Winck
- 27M. Ilie
- 14K. Mouanga
- 45A. Karapo
- 1A. Gianniotis
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beşiktaş have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Kasımpaşa have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amed(away) | 2-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(home) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 1-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Amed(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Beşiktaş win, 2 draws, 3 Kasımpaşa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Beşiktaş 2-1 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 1-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 1-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Beşiktaş 1-3 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| May 26, 2024 | Kasımpaşa 2-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Jan 5, 2024 | Beşiktaş 1-3 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa on Mar 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beşiktaş score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kasımpaşa score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | 2.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Kasımpaşa | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beşiktaş sit 3rd in Süper Lig (15 points from 7 matches) and Kasımpaşa sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
A question about Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Kasımpaşa.
- Where and when is Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa played?
- Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa is played on April 4, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tüpraş Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.