Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun
The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Samsunspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Samsunspor (2,038) and Beşiktaş (2,116).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samsunspor have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Beşiktaş have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 3-3 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alanyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Samsunspor win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Beşiktaş win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Samsunspor 2-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Beşiktaş 1-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Beşiktaş 0-0 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Samsunspor 0-2 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Beşiktaş 1-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Samsunspor 1-2 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Samsunspor score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Beşiktaş score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Beşiktaş | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samsunspor sit 3rd in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Beşiktaş sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Samsunspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş?
- The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Samsunspor.
- Where and when is Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş played?
- Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş is played on May 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.