Beşiktaş vs Gaziantep FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Gaziantep FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Gaziantep FK?
Beşiktaş starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (2,116 vs 1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beşiktaş have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Gaziantep FK have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alanyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Beşiktaş win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gaziantep FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Gaziantep FK 0-2 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Beşiktaş 2-2 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Beşiktaş 1-2 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Gaziantep FK 1-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Gaziantep FK 2-0 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Oct 30, 2023 | Beşiktaş 2-0 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Gaziantep FK vs Beşiktaş on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beşiktaş score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beşiktaş sit 12th in Süper Lig (3 points from 2 matches) and Gaziantep FK sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beşiktaş vs Gaziantep FK?
- The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Gaziantep FK.
- Where and when is Beşiktaş vs Gaziantep FK played?
- Beşiktaş vs Gaziantep FK is played on May 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tüpraş Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.