San Antonio vs FC Tulsa: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Toyota Field, San Antonio, Texas
The Footlab model makes San Antonio the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for FC Tulsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Antonio vs FC Tulsa?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate San Antonio (1,757) and FC Tulsa (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Antonio have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FC Tulsa have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oakland Roots(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | El Paso Locomotive(home) | 0-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Miami FC(home) | 2-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Louisville City(away) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Indy Eleven(home) | 3-1 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Orange County SC(away) | 5-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | New Mexico United(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Detroit City(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Sacramento Republic(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Antonio win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Tulsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | FC Tulsa 1-2 San Antonio | USL League One Cup |
| Apr 2, 2026 | San Antonio 0-1 FC Tulsa | US Open Cup |
| Mar 15, 2026 | FC Tulsa 0-0 San Antonio | USL Championship |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FC Tulsa 0-0 San Antonio | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 12, 2025 | FC Tulsa 2-0 San Antonio | USL Championship |
| May 29, 2025 | San Antonio 1-1 FC Tulsa | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: FC Tulsa vs San Antonio on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Antonio score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tulsa score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Tulsa | 1.1 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Antonio sit 1st in USL Championship (21 points from 13 matches) and FC Tulsa sit 3rd (19 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Tulsa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 32 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Antonio vs FC Tulsa?
- The Footlab model makes San Antonio the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for FC Tulsa.
- Where and when is San Antonio vs FC Tulsa played?
- San Antonio vs FC Tulsa is played on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Field, in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2026Lexington1-2Louisville City
- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots