Atlètic Lleida vs Tona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp de futbol Ramon Farrús, Lleida
The Footlab model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlètic Lleida vs Tona?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Atlètic Lleida (1,803) and Tona (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlètic Lleida have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Tona have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Barcelona B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Cristóbal(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atlètic Lleida win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Tona 1-2 Atlètic Lleida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Atlètic Lleida 0-1 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Tona vs Atlètic Lleida on Mar 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atlètic Lleida score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlètic Lleida | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Tona | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tona | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 35 | 31 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlètic Lleida vs Tona?
- The Footlab model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Tona.
- Where and when is Atlètic Lleida vs Tona played?
- Atlètic Lleida vs Tona is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp de futbol Ramon Farrús, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.