Match

San Fernando CD vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, San Fernando

San Fernando CDLas Palmas III

The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Las Palmas III. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Fernando CD vs Las Palmas III?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate San Fernando CD (1,746) and Las Palmas III (1,819).

San Fernando CD win42 %
Draw28 %
Las Palmas III win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Fernando CD have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Las Palmas III have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Fernando CD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Tamaraceite(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 28, 2025Albacete(home)0-3Copa del Rey
May 4, 2025Cádiz II(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 27, 2025Juventud Torremolinos(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Las Palmas III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026San Miguel(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Atlético Paso(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Tenisca(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026Panadería Pulido(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Real Unión de Tenerife(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

San Fernando CD score 0.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Fernando CD0.41.343/153/15
Las Palmas III1.31.148/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Las Palmas III3415910584254

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Fernando CD vs Las Palmas III?
The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Las Palmas III.
Where and when is San Fernando CD vs Las Palmas III played?
San Fernando CD vs Las Palmas III is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: San Fernando CD and Las Palmas III

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