Marino vs Villaverde Norte: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Villaverde Norte. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,651 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino vs Villaverde Norte?
On Elo ratings, Marino has 1,746 points and Villaverde Norte 1,691.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marino vs Villaverde Norte
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
Villaverde Norte
Not enough data to predict the Villaverde Norte lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 09:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Villaverde Norte have 0, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Anaza(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mensajero(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marino score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Villaverde Norte score 0.6 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Villaverde Norte | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0 | 5/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marino sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (13 points from 8 matches) and Villaverde Norte sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Marino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 13 |
| 18 | Villaverde Norte | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 2 |
A question about Marino vs Villaverde Norte?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino vs Villaverde Norte?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Villaverde Norte.
- Where and when is Marino vs Villaverde Norte played?
- Marino vs Villaverde Norte is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027San Fernando CDvsLas Palmas III
- Apr 18, 2027Panadería PulidovsLanzarote
- Apr 18, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsMensajero
- Apr 18, 2027EstrellavsVilla Santa Brígida
- Apr 18, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsSan Miguel
- Apr 18, 2027Laguna de DuerovsAnaza
- Apr 18, 2027Los LlanosvsSan Bartolomé
- Apr 18, 2027Playas SotaventovsTenerife C