Where and when is Panadería Pulido vs Lanzarote played?

Panadería Pulido vs Lanzarote is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Panadería Pulido vs Lanzarote: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, Vega de San Mateo

Panadería Pulido

Lanzarote

The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Lanzarote. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Panadería Pulido vs Lanzarote?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Panadería Pulido (1,813) and Lanzarote (1,786).

Panadería Pulido win51 %

Draw28 %

Lanzarote win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panadería Pulido have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Lanzarote have 2, 9 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Panadería Pulido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	UD San Fernando(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	San Miguel(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Atlético Paso(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Lanzarote
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	San Bartolomé(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026	Herbania(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Panadería Pulido win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Lanzarote win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Panadería Pulido 1-1 Lanzarote	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 2, 2025	Lanzarote 2-1 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Mar 1, 2025	Panadería Pulido 3-1 Lanzarote	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 20, 2024	Lanzarote 1-1 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 26, 2024	Lanzarote 0-1 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
May 18, 2024	Panadería Pulido 1-1 Lanzarote	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs

Last archived meeting: Panadería Pulido vs Lanzarote on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lanzarote score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Panadería Pulido	1.0	1.2	3	8/15	5/15
Lanzarote	0.8	1.0	4	8/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Panadería Pulido sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (55 points from 34 matches) and Lanzarote sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Panadería Pulido	34	15	10	9	47	33	55
9	Lanzarote	34	12	12	10	45	36	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Panadería Pulido vs Lanzarote?: The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Lanzarote.
Where and when is Panadería Pulido vs Lanzarote played?: Panadería Pulido vs Lanzarote is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.