San Marcial vs Oyonesa: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Ángel de Vicente, Lardero
The Footlab AI model makes Oyonesa the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for San Marcial. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oyonesa wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Marcial vs Oyonesa?
Oyonesa starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,813 vs 1,704).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Marcial vs Oyonesa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Marcial
Not enough data to predict the San Marcial lineup.
Oyonesa
Not enough data to predict the Oyonesa lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Marcial have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Oyonesa have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pradejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cenicero(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | River Ebro(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Cenicero(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | River Ebro(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Berceo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Comillas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Varea(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 San Marcial wins, 0 draws, 2 Oyonesa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | San Marcial 1-2 Oyonesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Oyonesa 2-1 San Marcial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: San Marcial vs Oyonesa on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Marcial score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oyonesa score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Marcial | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Oyonesa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Marcial sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (15 points from 8 matches) and Oyonesa sit 11th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Marcial | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 11 | Oyonesa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
A question about San Marcial vs Oyonesa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Marcial vs Oyonesa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oyonesa the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for San Marcial.
- Where and when is San Marcial vs Oyonesa played?
- San Marcial vs Oyonesa is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Ángel de Vicente, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.