Agoncillo vs San Marcial: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 · Matchday 11Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Roque, Agoncillo
The Footlab AI model makes Agoncillo the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for San Marcial. The most likely score is 1-1. If Agoncillo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agoncillo vs San Marcial?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Agoncillo (1,726) and San Marcial (1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Agoncillo vs San Marcial
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Agoncillo
Not enough data to predict the Agoncillo lineup.
San Marcial
Not enough data to predict the San Marcial lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 05:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agoncillo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; San Marcial have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cenicero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | River Ebro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Berceo(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Oyonesa(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pradejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cenicero(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Agoncillo win, 0 draws, 1 San Marcial win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | San Marcial 4-3 Agoncillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Agoncillo 3-2 San Marcial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: San Marcial vs Agoncillo on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Agoncillo score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Marcial score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agoncillo | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| San Marcial | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Agoncillo sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (16 points from 10 matches) and San Marcial sit 9th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Agoncillo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 16 |
| 9 | San Marcial | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
A question about Agoncillo vs San Marcial?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agoncillo vs San Marcial?
- The Footlab AI model makes Agoncillo the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for San Marcial.
- Where and when is Agoncillo vs San Marcial played?
- Agoncillo vs San Marcial is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Roque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.