San Martín vs Ceares: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Florán, San Martín del Rey Aurelio
The Footlab AI model makes San Martín the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ceares. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Martín wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Martín vs Ceares?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate San Martín (1,733) and Ceares (1,685).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Martín vs Ceares
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Martín
Not enough data to predict the San Martín lineup.
Ceares
Not enough data to predict the Ceares lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martín have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ceares have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Andes(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Martín(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Siero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 San Martín wins, 0 draws, 2 Ceares wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ceares 1-2 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Ceares 0-1 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | San Martín 2-1 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Ceares 2-0 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | San Martín 0-2 Ceares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2021 | Ceares 1-4 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
San Martín score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ceares score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martín | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ceares | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Martín sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (8 points from 6 matches) and Ceares sit 14th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | San Martín | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 14 | Ceares | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 4 |
A question about San Martín vs Ceares?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Martín vs Ceares?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Martín the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ceares.
- Where and when is San Martín vs Ceares played?
- San Martín vs Ceares is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Florán, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.