San Roque Lepe vs Ceuta II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Lepe, Lepe
The Footlab model makes San Roque Lepe the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ceuta II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Roque Lepe vs Ceuta II?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate San Roque Lepe (1,733) and Ceuta II (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Roque Lepe have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Ceuta II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ceuta II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Córdoba II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conil(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 17, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 10, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Castilleja(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Coria CF(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 San Roque Lepe win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ceuta II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | San Roque Lepe 0-1 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Ceuta II 0-0 San Roque Lepe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Ceuta II 2-3 San Roque Lepe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | San Roque Lepe 0-0 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: San Roque Lepe vs Ceuta II on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Roque Lepe score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ceuta II score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Roque Lepe | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ceuta II | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Roque Lepe sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (43 points from 34 matches) and Ceuta II sit 5th (52 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ceuta II | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 38 | 52 |
| 13 | San Roque Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Roque Lepe vs Ceuta II?
- The Footlab model makes San Roque Lepe the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ceuta II.
- Where and when is San Roque Lepe vs Ceuta II played?
- San Roque Lepe vs Ceuta II is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Lepe, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.