Sandefjord II vs Ørn Horten: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 6Regular Season - 19Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gamle Stadion, Sandefjord
The Footlab model makes Sandefjord II the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Ørn Horten. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sandefjord II vs Ørn Horten?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Sandefjord II (1,591) and Ørn Horten (1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sandefjord II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Ørn Horten have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bjørkelangen(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Elverum(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ørn Horten(away) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Flint(away) | 0-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elverum(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Raelingen(home) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sandefjord II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ørn Horten win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ørn Horten 4-3 Sandefjord II | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
Last archived meeting: Ørn Horten vs Sandefjord II on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sandefjord II score 2.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ørn Horten score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord II | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Ørn Horten | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sandefjord II sit 10th in 3. Division - Girone 6 (22 points from 16 matches) and Ørn Horten sit 6th (25 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ørn Horten | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 25 |
| 10 | Sandefjord II | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sandefjord II vs Ørn Horten?
- The Footlab model makes Sandefjord II the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Ørn Horten.
- Where and when is Sandefjord II vs Ørn Horten played?
- Sandefjord II vs Ørn Horten is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gamle Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.