Sandefjord II vs Sarpsborg 08 II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 6Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Gamle Stadion, Sandefjord
The Footlab model makes Sandefjord II the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Sarpsborg 08 II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sandefjord II vs Sarpsborg 08 II?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Sandefjord II (1,591) and Sarpsborg 08 II (1,514).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sandefjord II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Sarpsborg 08 II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bjørkelangen(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Elverum(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ørn Horten(away) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Fram(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brumunddal(home) | 11-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Oppsal(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Ørn Horten(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Bjørkelangen(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Sandefjord II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sarpsborg 08 II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 II 2-3 Sandefjord II | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
Last archived meeting: Sarpsborg 08 II vs Sandefjord II on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sandefjord II score 2.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sarpsborg 08 II score 2.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord II | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Sarpsborg 08 II | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sandefjord II sit 10th in 3. Division - Girone 6 (22 points from 16 matches) and Sarpsborg 08 II sit 11th (15 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sandefjord II | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 II | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 39 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sandefjord II vs Sarpsborg 08 II?
- The Footlab model makes Sandefjord II the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Sarpsborg 08 II.
- Where and when is Sandefjord II vs Sarpsborg 08 II played?
- Sandefjord II vs Sarpsborg 08 II is played on October 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Gamle Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.