Ørn Horten vs Råde: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 6Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lystlunden Stadion, Horten
The Footlab model makes Råde the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Ørn Horten. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ørn Horten vs Råde?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Ørn Horten (1,648) and Råde (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ørn Horten have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Råde have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elverum(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Raelingen(home) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Sandefjord II(home) | 4-3 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Follo(home) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Raelingen(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bjørkelangen(home) | 8-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(away) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ørn Horten win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Råde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Råde 1-1 Ørn Horten | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ørn Horten score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Råde score 3.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ørn Horten | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Råde | 3.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ørn Horten sit 6th in 3. Division - Girone 6 (25 points from 16 matches) and Råde sit 3rd (32 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Råde | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 60 | 29 | 32 |
| 6 | Ørn Horten | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ørn Horten vs Råde?
- The Footlab model makes Råde the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Ørn Horten.
- Where and when is Ørn Horten vs Råde played?
- Ørn Horten vs Råde is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lystlunden Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.