Brumunddal vs Drøbak / Frogn: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 6Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)OBOS-bana, Brumunddal
The Footlab model makes Drøbak / Frogn the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Brumunddal. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brumunddal vs Drøbak / Frogn?
Drøbak / Frogn starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,418).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brumunddal have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Drøbak / Frogn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Raelingen(home) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 II(away) | 0-11 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lyn II(home) | 1-9 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn(away) | 1-7 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(home) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(away) | 1-6 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Råde(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sandefjord II(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lillehammer(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Brumunddal(home) | 7-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Brumunddal win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Drøbak / Frogn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn 7-1 Brumunddal | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
Last archived meeting: Drøbak / Frogn vs Brumunddal on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brumunddal score 1.1 and concede 4.7 goals per match over their last 15; Drøbak / Frogn score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brumunddal | 1.1 | 4.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
| Drøbak / Frogn | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brumunddal sit 13th in 3. Division - Girone 6 (8 points from 16 matches) and Drøbak / Frogn sit 9th (22 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Drøbak / Frogn | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 21 | 22 |
| 13 | Brumunddal | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 72 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brumunddal vs Drøbak / Frogn?
- The Footlab model makes Drøbak / Frogn the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Brumunddal.
- Where and when is Brumunddal vs Drøbak / Frogn played?
- Brumunddal vs Drøbak / Frogn is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at OBOS-bana, in the 3. Division - Girone 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.