Şanlıurfaspor vs Adana Demirspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, Şanlıurfa
The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Şanlıurfaspor vs Adana Demirspor?
Şanlıurfaspor is a heavy favourite: 1,756 Elo points against 1,451, a 305-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şanlıurfaspor have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Adana Demirspor have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 5-2 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | İstanbulspor(away) | 1-8 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 0-6 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-6 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Şanlıurfaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Adana Demirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | Şanlıurfaspor 1-2 Adana Demirspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Adana Demirspor 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor | 1. Lig |
| May 14, 2016 | Şanlıurfaspor 2-0 Adana Demirspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 27, 2015 | Adana Demirspor 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2015 | Adana Demirspor 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor | 1. Lig |
| Nov 23, 2014 | Şanlıurfaspor 2-3 Adana Demirspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Şanlıurfaspor vs Adana Demirspor on Mar 4, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Şanlıurfaspor score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şanlıurfaspor | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Adana Demirspor | 0.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Şanlıurfaspor | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 43 | 65 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Şanlıurfaspor vs Adana Demirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Adana Demirspor.
- Where and when is Şanlıurfaspor vs Adana Demirspor played?
- Şanlıurfaspor vs Adana Demirspor is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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