Somaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, Soma
The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Somaspor. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Somaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü?
Muş Sport Klübü starts as the favourite with a 285-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Somaspor have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Muş Sport Klübü have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 1-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Menemen FK(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kırklarelispor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Adanaspor(home) | 6-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Fethiyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Somaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Muş Sport Klübü win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Somaspor 1-2 Muş Sport Klübü | 2. Lig |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Muş Sport Klübü 4-0 Somaspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Somaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Somaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Muş Sport Klübü score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somaspor | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Muş Sport Klübü | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Somaspor sit 15th in 2. Lig (30 points from 34 matches) and Muş Sport Klübü sit 3rd (70 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Muş Sport Klübü | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 82 | 35 | 70 |
| 15 | Somaspor | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 68 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Somaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü?
- The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Somaspor.
- Where and when is Somaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü played?
- Somaspor vs Muş Sport Klübü is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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