Sanremese vs Asti: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Cichero, Sanremo
The Footlab model makes Sanremese the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Asti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanremese vs Asti?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Sanremese (1,772) and Asti (1,681).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanremese have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Asti have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Derthona(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cairese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Club Milano(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sanremese win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Asti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Sanremese 0-1 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Asti 1-0 Sanremese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Asti 1-1 Sanremese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Sanremese 0-0 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Sanremese 1-0 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Asti 4-0 Sanremese | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sanremese score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Asti score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanremese | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Asti | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sanremese sit 7th in Serie D - Girone A (49 points from 34 matches) and Asti sit 16th (35 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 30 | 49 |
| 16 | Asti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 42 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanremese vs Asti?
- The Footlab model makes Sanremese the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Asti.
- Where and when is Sanremese vs Asti played?
- Sanremese vs Asti is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Cichero, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.