Celle Varazze vs Alessandria: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Celle Varazze the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Alessandria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celle Varazze wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,990 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celle Varazze vs Alessandria?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Celle Varazze (1,711) and Alessandria (1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celle Varazze vs Alessandria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celle Varazze
Not enough data to predict the Celle Varazze lineup.
Alessandria
4-3-3- 31T. Busatto
- 99L. Samele
- 9Óscar Siafá
- 4M. Nichetti
- 14A. Pellitteri
- 24A. Mastalli
- 17E. Gega
- 23S. Ciancio
- 3E. Rossi
- 8A. Rotas
- 1A. Farroni
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 08:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celle Varazze have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Alessandria have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Bra(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lascaris(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fezzanese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Imperia(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Celle Varazze score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Alessandria score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celle Varazze | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Alessandria | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celle Varazze sit 18th in Serie D - Girone A (1 point from 7 matches) and Alessandria sit 1st (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 21 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 1 |
A question about Celle Varazze vs Alessandria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celle Varazze vs Alessandria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celle Varazze the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Alessandria.
- Where and when is Celle Varazze vs Alessandria played?
- Celle Varazze vs Alessandria is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.