Sant Andreu vs Rayo Majadahonda: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 37Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal Narcís Sala, Barcelona
The Footlab model makes Sant Andreu the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Rayo Majadahonda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sant Andreu vs Rayo Majadahonda?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Sant Andreu (2,005) and Rayo Majadahonda (1,984).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sant Andreu have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Rayo Majadahonda have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olot(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Espanyol II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Barbastro(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sant Andreu win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Rayo Majadahonda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Sant Andreu 1-2 Rayo Majadahonda | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 11, 2025 | Rayo Majadahonda 0-0 Sant Andreu | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Sant Andreu vs Rayo Majadahonda on May 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sant Andreu score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Majadahonda score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sant Andreu | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Rayo Majadahonda | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sant Andreu vs Rayo Majadahonda?
- The Footlab model makes Sant Andreu the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Rayo Majadahonda.
- Where and when is Sant Andreu vs Rayo Majadahonda played?
- Sant Andreu vs Rayo Majadahonda is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal Narcís Sala, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.