Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Sant Andreu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Rayo Majadahonda (1,980) and Sant Andreu (2,002).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Majadahonda have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Sant Andreu have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olot(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Espanyol II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Barbastro(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Rayo Majadahonda win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sant Andreu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Sant Andreu 1-2 Rayo Majadahonda | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 11, 2025 | Rayo Majadahonda 0-0 Sant Andreu | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Sant Andreu vs Rayo Majadahonda on May 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Majadahonda score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sant Andreu score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Sant Andreu | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu?
- The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Sant Andreu.
- Where and when is Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu played?
- Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.