Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Chiesa, Sant'Angelo Lodigiano
The Footlab model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Sant'Angelo. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese?
Pistoiese starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sant'Angelo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Pistoiese have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tuttocuoio(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Piacenza(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Piacenza(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 5-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Coriano(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Sant'Angelo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Pistoiese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Sant'Angelo 1-3 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Pistoiese 4-1 Sant'Angelo | Serie D - Girone D |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Pistoiese 1-1 Sant'Angelo | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Pistoiese 2-2 Sant'Angelo | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 21, 2022 | Sant'Angelo 0-1 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sant'Angelo score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pistoiese score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sant'Angelo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Pistoiese | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sant'Angelo sit 10th in Serie D - Girone D (39 points from 34 matches) and Pistoiese sit 3rd (68 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistoiese | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 68 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 51 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese?
- The Footlab model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Sant'Angelo.
- Where and when is Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese played?
- Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Chiesa, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.