Castellanzese vs Sant'Angelo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, Castellanza
The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Sant'Angelo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellanzese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Sant'Angelo?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Castellanzese (1,742) and Sant'Angelo (1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellanzese vs Sant'Angelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellanzese
Not enough data to predict the Castellanzese lineup.
Sant'Angelo
Not enough data to predict the Sant'Angelo lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 05:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellanzese have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sant'Angelo have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Crema(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pro Sesto(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Coriano(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Castellanzese wins, 0 draws, 1 Sant'Angelo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sant'Angelo 1-2 Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Sant'Angelo 0-2 Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Castellanzese 1-3 Sant'Angelo | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Sant'Angelo vs Castellanzese on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castellanzese score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sant'Angelo score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellanzese | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sant'Angelo | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellanzese sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone D (18 points from 8 matches) and Sant'Angelo sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellanzese | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Sant'Angelo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Castellanzese vs Sant'Angelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellanzese vs Sant'Angelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Sant'Angelo.
- Where and when is Castellanzese vs Sant'Angelo played?
- Castellanzese vs Sant'Angelo is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.