Crema vs Castellanzese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Crema. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellanzese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,863 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crema vs Castellanzese?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Crema (1,653) and Castellanzese (1,742).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crema vs Castellanzese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crema
Not enough data to predict the Crema lineup.
Castellanzese
Not enough data to predict the Castellanzese lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 11:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crema have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Castellanzese have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Crema(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Crema wins, 3 draws, 3 Castellanzese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellanzese 4-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Castellanzese 1-1 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Crema 0-1 Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Crema 0-2 Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Castellanzese 0-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Crema 1-1 Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Castellanzese vs Crema on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crema score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Castellanzese score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crema | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Castellanzese | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crema sit 13th in Serie D - Girone D (8 points from 8 matches) and Castellanzese sit 3rd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellanzese | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 | Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Crema vs Castellanzese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crema vs Castellanzese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Crema.
- Where and when is Crema vs Castellanzese played?
- Crema vs Castellanzese is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.