Santa Amalia vs Jerez: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia, Santa Amalia
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Amalia the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Jerez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Amalia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,152 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Amalia vs Jerez?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Santa Amalia (1,656) and Jerez (1,730).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santa Amalia vs Jerez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santa Amalia
Not enough data to predict the Santa Amalia lineup.
Jerez
Not enough data to predict the Jerez lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 01:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Amalia have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Jerez have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Guadiana(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Azuaga(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Jaraíz(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Plasencia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Quintana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Santa Amalia wins, 2 draws, 0 Jerez wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Jerez 2-2 Santa Amalia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Santa Amalia 2-2 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Jerez 0-1 Santa Amalia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Santa Amalia 1-0 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Amalia score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Jerez score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Amalia | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Jerez | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Amalia sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (12 points from 10 matches) and Jerez sit 14th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Santa Amalia | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 14 | Jerez | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Santa Amalia vs Jerez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Amalia vs Jerez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Amalia the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Jerez.
- Where and when is Santa Amalia vs Jerez played?
- Santa Amalia vs Jerez is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.