Santa Amalia vs Llerenense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia, Santa Amalia
The Footlab AI model makes Llerenense the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Santa Amalia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llerenense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Amalia vs Llerenense?
Llerenense starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santa Amalia vs Llerenense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santa Amalia
Not enough data to predict the Santa Amalia lineup.
Llerenense
Not enough data to predict the Llerenense lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 02:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Amalia have 1 win, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Llerenense have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Villafranca(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Moralo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castuera(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gévora(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CD Zafra(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Santa Amalia win, 0 draws, 4 Llerenense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Llerenense 3-0 Santa Amalia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Santa Amalia 1-2 Llerenense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Llerenense 1-0 Santa Amalia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 11, 2025 | Llerenense 1-2 Santa Amalia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Santa Amalia 0-1 Llerenense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Llerenense vs Santa Amalia on Oct 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Amalia score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Llerenense score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Amalia | 0.8 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Llerenense | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Amalia sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (7 points from 7 matches) and Llerenense sit 2nd (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Llerenense | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 20 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Santa Amalia vs Llerenense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Amalia vs Llerenense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llerenense the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Santa Amalia.
- Where and when is Santa Amalia vs Llerenense played?
- Santa Amalia vs Llerenense is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.