Jaraíz vs Montijo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol de Jaraíz de la Vera, Jaraíz de la Vera
The Footlab AI model makes Jaraíz the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Montijo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jaraíz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jaraíz vs Montijo?
On Elo ratings, Jaraíz has 1,858 points and Montijo 1,759.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jaraíz vs Montijo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jaraíz
Not enough data to predict the Jaraíz lineup.
Montijo
Not enough data to predict the Montijo lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 06:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaraíz have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Montijo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Guadiana(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Azuaga(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villafranca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gévora(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CD Zafra(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Jaraíz win, 1 draw, 3 Montijo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montijo 2-0 Jaraíz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Jaraíz 1-1 Montijo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Montijo 1-0 Jaraíz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 11, 2025 | Jaraíz 1-0 Montijo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Montijo 2-1 Jaraíz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Jaraíz score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Montijo score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaraíz | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Montijo | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jaraíz sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (5 points from 7 matches) and Montijo sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Montijo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 16 | Jaraíz | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
A question about Jaraíz vs Montijo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jaraíz vs Montijo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jaraíz the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Montijo.
- Where and when is Jaraíz vs Montijo played?
- Jaraíz vs Montijo is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol de Jaraíz de la Vera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.