Santa Cruz vs Coritiba: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on July 23, 2016 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Jóse do Rego Maciel, Recife, Pernambuco
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What was the result of Santa Cruz vs Coritiba?
Coritiba won 0-1 on July 23, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 33′Kléber Giacomace de Souza FreitasCoritiba
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Coritiba have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2016 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 2-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 17, 2016 | America Mineiro(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 14, 2016 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 10, 2016 | Internacional(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 3, 2016 | Botafogo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2016 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 9, 2016 | Botafogo(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 2, 2016 | Fluminense(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2016 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2016 | Figueirense(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Coritiba score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Coritiba | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coritiba | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 31 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy