Coritiba vs Santos: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba, Paraná
The Footlab AI model makes Santos the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Coritiba. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santos wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coritiba vs Santos?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Coritiba (1,794) and Santos (1,888).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Coritiba vs Santos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Coritiba
4-2-3-1- 32Pedro Rocha
- 19S. Gómez
- 7J. Lavega
- 21Thiago Santos
- 10Josué
- 77Breno Lopes
- 26Bruno Melo
- 23Tiago Cóser
- 55Jacy
- 44João Pedro Chermont
- 1Pedro Luccas
Santos
4-2-3-1- 9Gabriel Barbosa
- 28C. Oliva
- 6Arthur
- 48Gustavo Henrique Pereira
- 8Gabriel Bontempo
- 7Everton
- 31G. Escobar
- 23Rodinei
- 15Willian Arão
- 4Lucas Veríssimo
- 1Diógenes
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coritiba have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Santos have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-5 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Remo(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Remo(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-4 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Coritiba win, 1 draw, 4 Santos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Santos 0-3 Coritiba | Serie A |
| May 13, 2026 | Coritiba 0-2 Santos | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Santos 0-0 Coritiba | Copa Do Brasil |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Coritiba 0-2 Santos | Serie B |
| Jul 22, 2024 | Santos 4-0 Coritiba | Serie B |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Santos 2-1 Coritiba | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Coritiba score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Santos score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Santos | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coritiba sit 9th in Serie A (38 points from 28 matches) and Santos sit 8th (41 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santos | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 41 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | 38 |
A question about Coritiba vs Santos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coritiba vs Santos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santos the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Coritiba.
- Where and when is Coritiba vs Santos played?
- Coritiba vs Santos is played on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.