Gremio vs Sao Paulo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on July 24, 2016 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Gremio won 1-0 on July 24, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 53′Douglas dos SantosGremio
Official lineup for Gremio vs Sao Paulo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Gremio
4-2-3-1- 11Everton
- 77Negueba
- 23M. Bolaños
- 34Iago
- 10Douglas dos Santos
- 19Maicon Thiago Pereira de Souza
- 25Jaílson
- 33Edílson Mendes Guimarães
- 14Wallace
- 3Geromel
- 1Marcelo Grohe
Sao Paulo
4-2-3-1- 20R. Centurión
- 17Gilberto
- 23Thiago Mendes
- 11Wesley Lopes Beltrame
- 13C. Cueva
- 7Michel Bastos
- 21E. Mena
- 27Maicon
- 2Bruno
- 5Diego Alfredo Lugano Morena
- 1Denis
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sao Paulo have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2016 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2016 | Figueirense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 3, 2016 | Internacional(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 29, 2016 | Santos(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2016 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2016 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2016 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 3, 2016 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2016 | Fluminense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2016 | Santos(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gremio win, 1 draw, 4 Sao Paulo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2015 | Gremio 1-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 7, 2015 | Sao Paulo 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Gremio 0-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| May 25, 2014 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Sao Paulo 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2013 | Gremio 1-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 18th in Serie A (31 points from 31 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 9th (42 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 35 | 42 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 44 | 31 |
A question about Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy