Gremio vs Sao Paulo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on July 24, 2016 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Gremio won 1-0 on July 24, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 53′Douglas dos SantosGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sao Paulo have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2016 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2016 | Figueirense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 3, 2016 | Internacional(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 29, 2016 | Santos(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2016 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2016 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2016 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 3, 2016 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2016 | Fluminense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2016 | Santos(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2015 | Gremio 1-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 7, 2015 | Sao Paulo 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Gremio 0-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| May 25, 2014 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Sao Paulo 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2013 | Gremio 1-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy