Santa Lucía vs Marsa: result 3-1 and analysis
Challenge LeagueChampionship Round - 5Kick-off on March 29, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
Full time
What was the result of Santa Lucía vs Marsa?
Santa Lucía won 3-1 on March 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 42′?Santa Lucía
- 53′A. VellaSanta Lucía
- 70′?Marsa
- 90′?Santa Lucía
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Lucía have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Marsa have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Pietà Hotspurs(away) | 3-3 | Challenge League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Mgarr United(home) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Zebbug Rangers(away) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Tarxien Rainbows(away) | 0-0 | Challenge League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Zurrieq(home) | 3-6 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Zurrieq(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Pietà Hotspurs(away) | 2-5 | Challenge League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | St. Andrews(away) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Swieqi United(home) | 2-3 | Challenge League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Mgarr United(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Santa Lucía win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Marsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2024 | Santa Lucía 0-5 Marsa | Challenge League |
| Jan 11, 2024 | Santa Lucía 2-0 Marsa | FA Trophy |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Marsa 0-6 Santa Lucía | Challenge League |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Santa Lucía 7-1 Marsa | Challenge League |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Lucía score 2.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Marsa score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Lucía | 2.0 | 1.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Marsa | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Lucía sit 3rd in Challenge League (30 points from 22 matches) and Marsa sit 7th (17 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Santa Lucía | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 40 | 31 | 30 |
| 7 | Marsa | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 38 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy