Santa Rita vs Sport PB: prediction and stats
Paraibano 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio 4 de Janeiro, Uíge
The Footlab model makes Santa Rita the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Sport PB. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Rita vs Sport PB?
Santa Rita starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,408).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Rita have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Sport PB have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2020 | Puerto Quito(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Nov 8, 2020 | 9 de Octubre(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Nov 5, 2020 | Manta FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Duros del Balon(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Fuerza Amarilla(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Spartax(home) | 0-3 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Picuiense(away) | 0-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Cruzeiro PB(home) | 0-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Guarabira(away) | 0-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Queimadense(home) | 2-1 | Paraibano 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Rita score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sport PB score 0.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Rita | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Sport PB | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Rita vs Sport PB?
- The Footlab model makes Santa Rita the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Sport PB.
- Where and when is Santa Rita vs Sport PB played?
- Santa Rita vs Sport PB is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio 4 de Janeiro, in the Paraibano 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.