Match

Serrano PB vs Picuiense: prediction and stats

Paraibano 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Toca do Papão, Sapé, Paraíba

Serrano PBPicuiense

The Footlab model makes Serrano PB the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Picuiense. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Serrano PB vs Picuiense?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Serrano PB (1,540) and Picuiense (1,485).

Serrano PB win64 %
Draw19 %
Picuiense win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Serrano PB have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Picuiense have 2, 1 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Serrano PB
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 21, 2025Spartax(home)5-1Paraibano 2
Sep 18, 2025São Paulo Crystal(away)0-3Paraibano 2
Sep 15, 2025Miramar(away)0-2Paraibano 2
Sep 11, 2025Atlético Cajazeirense(home)3-3Paraibano 2
Sep 8, 2025Guarabira(home)1-2Paraibano 2
Picuiense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 19, 2025EC de Patos(home)0-5Paraibano
Feb 15, 2025Botafogo PB(away)0-3Paraibano
Feb 12, 2025Treze(home)2-6Paraibano
Feb 9, 2025Auto Esporte(home)1-2Paraibano
Feb 3, 2025Serra Branca(away)0-8Paraibano

How many goals should we expect?

Serrano PB score 1.1 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Picuiense score 0.6 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Serrano PB1.12.927/1510/15
Picuiense0.62.914/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Serrano PB vs Picuiense?
The Footlab model makes Serrano PB the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Picuiense.
Where and when is Serrano PB vs Picuiense played?
Serrano PB vs Picuiense is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Toca do Papão, in the Paraibano 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Serrano PB and Picuiense

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