Santegidiese vs Atletico Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Santegidiese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,514 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santegidiese vs Atletico Ascoli?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Santegidiese (1,688) and Atletico Ascoli (1,781).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santegidiese vs Atletico Ascoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santegidiese
Not enough data to predict the Santegidiese lineup.
Atletico Ascoli
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Ascoli lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Santegidiese have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Ascoli have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Santegidiese score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 9; Atletico Ascoli score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santegidiese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 5/9 | 3/9 |
| Atletico Ascoli | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santegidiese sit 16th in Serie D - Girone F (9 points from 10 matches) and Atletico Ascoli sit 8th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Atletico Ascoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 16 | Santegidiese | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
A question about Santegidiese vs Atletico Ascoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santegidiese vs Atletico Ascoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Santegidiese.
- Where and when is Santegidiese vs Atletico Ascoli played?
- Santegidiese vs Atletico Ascoli is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.