Maceratese vs L'Aquila: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Helvia Recina, Macerata
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Maceratese. The most likely score is 1-1. If L'Aquila wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maceratese vs L'Aquila?
L'Aquila starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,560).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maceratese vs L'Aquila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maceratese
4-3-3- 9Matteo Colombi
- 16Federico Palmieri
- 15D. Allegretti
- 8Alberto Quadri
- 7L. De Grazia
- 10Gianluca Turchetta
- 14Christian Ventola
- 5D. Marchetti
- 6Filippo Gattari
- 4A. Bondioli
- 22F. Forte
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maceratese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; L'Aquila have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Maceratese win, 0 draws, 1 L'Aquila win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | L'Aquila 1-0 Maceratese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Maceratese 2-1 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: L'Aquila vs Maceratese on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; L'Aquila score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maceratese | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| L'Aquila | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maceratese sit 14th in Serie D - Girone F (7 points from 7 matches) and L'Aquila sit 1st (17 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 14 | Maceratese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Maceratese vs L'Aquila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maceratese vs L'Aquila?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Maceratese.
- Where and when is Maceratese vs L'Aquila played?
- Maceratese vs L'Aquila is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Helvia Recina, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.