Santegidiese vs Notaresco: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Notaresco the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Santegidiese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notaresco wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santegidiese vs Notaresco?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Santegidiese (1,668) and Notaresco (1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santegidiese vs Notaresco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santegidiese
Not enough data to predict the Santegidiese lineup.
Notaresco
5-3-2- 10P. Banegas
- 17A. Mancini
- 9Mateus Ribeiro
- 7L. Marchionni
- 4L. Bianciardi
- 6I. Speranza
- 33M. Gallo
- 24R. Di Stefano
- 5G. Colombatti
- 13J. Di Saverio
- 1K. Shiba
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Santegidiese have 1 win, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Notaresco have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Santegidiese wins, 0 draws, 1 Notaresco win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Notaresco 1-0 Santegidiese | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Notaresco vs Santegidiese on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santegidiese score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 7; Notaresco score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santegidiese | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 4/7 | 2/7 |
| Notaresco | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santegidiese sit 13th in Serie D - Girone F (8 points from 8 matches) and Notaresco sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Santegidiese vs Notaresco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santegidiese vs Notaresco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notaresco the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Santegidiese.
- Where and when is Santegidiese vs Notaresco played?
- Santegidiese vs Notaresco is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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