Foligno Calcio vs Recanatese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Enzo Blasone, Foligno
The Footlab AI model makes Foligno Calcio the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Recanatese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Foligno Calcio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Foligno Calcio vs Recanatese?
On Elo ratings, Foligno Calcio has 1,651 points and Recanatese 1,557.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Foligno Calcio vs Recanatese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Foligno Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Foligno Calcio lineup.
Recanatese
Not enough data to predict the Recanatese lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Foligno Calcio have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Recanatese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Foligno Calcio wins, 0 draws, 1 Recanatese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Recanatese 4-1 Foligno Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Recanatese vs Foligno Calcio on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Foligno Calcio score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Recanatese score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foligno Calcio | 1.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Recanatese | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Foligno Calcio sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone F (16 points from 7 matches) and Recanatese sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Foligno Calcio | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Foligno Calcio vs Recanatese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Foligno Calcio vs Recanatese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Foligno Calcio the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Recanatese.
- Where and when is Foligno Calcio vs Recanatese played?
- Foligno Calcio vs Recanatese is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Enzo Blasone, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.