Atletico Ascoli vs L'Aquila: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Don Mauro Bartolini, Ascoli Piceno
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for L'Aquila. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,539 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Ascoli vs L'Aquila?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Atletico Ascoli (1,801) and L'Aquila (1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Ascoli vs L'Aquila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Ascoli
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Ascoli lineup.
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 02:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Ascoli have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; L'Aquila have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-6 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Ascoli wins, 4 draws, 0 L'Aquila wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | L'Aquila 0-0 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Jan 4, 2026 | L'Aquila 1-2 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Atletico Ascoli 2-2 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 9, 2025 | L'Aquila 1-1 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Atletico Ascoli 1-1 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Atletico Ascoli 2-1 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: L'Aquila vs Atletico Ascoli on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Ascoli score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; L'Aquila score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Ascoli | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| L'Aquila | 1.8 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Ascoli sit 8th in Serie D - Girone F (14 points from 10 matches) and L'Aquila sit 2nd (24 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | L'Aquila | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Atletico Ascoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Atletico Ascoli vs L'Aquila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Ascoli vs L'Aquila?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for L'Aquila.
- Where and when is Atletico Ascoli vs L'Aquila played?
- Atletico Ascoli vs L'Aquila is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Don Mauro Bartolini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.