Santomera vs Torrellano: prediction and stats
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera
The Footlab model makes Torrellano the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santomera vs Torrellano?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Santomera (1,683) and Torrellano (1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Torrellano have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeclano II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villarreal III(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | La Nucía(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crevillente(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Soneja(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Buñol(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Santomera score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Torrellano score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santomera | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Torrellano | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Torrellano?
- The Footlab model makes Torrellano the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Santomera.
- Where and when is Santomera vs Torrellano played?
- Santomera vs Torrellano is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Friendlies Clubs.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.