Santos vs Deportivo Binacional: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRelegation Group - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Huamán Román, Nasca (Nazca)
The Footlab AI model makes Santos the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Deportivo Binacional. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santos vs Deportivo Binacional?
Santos starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,530 vs 1,428).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santos vs Deportivo Binacional
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santos
4-3-3- 11Alexis Rojas
- 9M. Curiel
- 9M. Curiel
- 70J. Munoz
- 5G. Collante
- 16N. Marcos
- 32S. Torres
- 26J. Franco
- 14G. Quiroz
- 25P. Toledo
- 22C. Román
Deportivo Binacional
4-3-3- 22J. Marcelin
- 14R. Rodríguez
- 17C. Aguirre
- 6O. Vasquez
- 26A. Zuniga
- 35A. Lopez
- 30A. Mosquera
- 32D. Perez
- 5J. Santa María
- 15A. Gadea
- 23C. Limousin
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Deportivo Binacional have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Academia Cantolao(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Minas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Estudiantil CNI(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Bentín Tacna Heroica(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Alianza Universidad(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Academia Cantolao(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alianza Universidad(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sport Huancayo 2(away) | 0-7 | Segunda División |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Comerciantes(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ayacucho FC(away) | 1-7 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Santos wins, 1 draw, 1 Deportivo Binacional win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Santos 3-1 Deportivo Binacional | Segunda División |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Deportivo Binacional 1-1 Santos | Segunda División |
| Jul 22, 2024 | Santos 3-0 Deportivo Binacional | Segunda División |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Deportivo Binacional 2-0 Santos | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Santos vs Deportivo Binacional on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santos score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Binacional score 0.9 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Deportivo Binacional | 0.9 | 3.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santos sit 6th in Segunda División (21 points from 16 matches) and Deportivo Binacional sit 9th (10 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Santos | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 21 |
| 9 | Deportivo Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 10 |
A question about Santos vs Deportivo Binacional?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santos vs Deportivo Binacional?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santos the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Deportivo Binacional.
- Where and when is Santos vs Deportivo Binacional played?
- Santos vs Deportivo Binacional is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Huamán Román, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.