Santos vs Gremio: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on June 1, 2013 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, São Paulo
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What was the result of Santos vs Gremio?
Santos and Gremio drew 1-1 on June 1, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 12′E. VargasGremio
- 79′Willian JoséSantos (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Gremio have 6, 9 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2013 | Botafogo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2013 | Flamengo(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Palmeiras(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Figueirense(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2013 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2012 | Internacional(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Figueirense(away) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 18, 2012 | Portuguesa(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santos win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2012 | Gremio 1-1 Santos | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Santos 4-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2011 | Santos 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2011 | Gremio 1-0 Santos | Serie A |
| Nov 13, 2010 | Santos 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2010 | Gremio 1-2 Santos | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Santos score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gremio | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santos sit 14th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 25 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy