Santos vs Gremio: result 4-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on July 8, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, São Paulo
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What was the result of Santos vs Gremio?
Santos won 4-2 on July 8, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 28′Edu DracenaSantos
- 39′Felipe AndersonSantos
- 62′NeymarSantos
- 70′Felipe AndersonSantos
- 78′VilsonGremio
- 90′MarquinhosGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2012 | Portuguesa(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 24, 2012 | Coritiba(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 7, 2012 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2012 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 24, 2012 | Flamengo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Corinthians(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2012 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Santos win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2011 | Santos 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2011 | Gremio 1-0 Santos | Serie A |
| Nov 13, 2010 | Santos 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2010 | Gremio 1-2 Santos | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Santos score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santos sit 14th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 25 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy