Santos vs Gremio: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 16, 2011 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, São Paulo
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What was the result of Santos vs Gremio?
Gremio won 0-1 on October 16, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 20′D. EscuderoGremio (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Gremio have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2011 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2011 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2011 | Gremio(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Fluminense(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Figueirense(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2011 | Figueirense(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Coritiba(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2011 | Santos(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Avai(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Santos win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2011 | Gremio 1-0 Santos | Serie A |
| Nov 13, 2010 | Santos 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2010 | Gremio 1-2 Santos | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Santos score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Gremio | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santos sit 14th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 25 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy